By Dr. Chockalingam|2026-06-19T09:35:47+00:00June 19th, 2026|Categories: Blog|Tags: Causal Event Forecasting, Demand Signal, Event Modeling, Forecast Accuracy, SAP IBP|
Forecasting the Pattern, Not the Cause: Why Smoothing Over Events Distorts Your Demand Signal Actual Worst Practice in SAP implementations: Removing all events from historical data and making it flat to produce a smoothed forecast!! Ask yourself: is your forecast capturing demand — or just smoothing over it? 📊In SAP IBP, too many planners still default to exponential smoothing [...]
By Dr. Chockalingam|2026-06-19T16:21:17+00:00June 12th, 2026|Categories: Blog|Tags: CPG, Demand Planning, IBP, Inventory Optimization, S&OP, SAP Consulting, SAP IBP, SCM, Supply Chain, Valtitude|
Worst Practices Supply Chain Planning: Equal-Split Weekly Disaggregation That Erases Real Demand Patterns 📉 Equal-split forecasts in SAP IBP: convenient, but is it costing you? 🤔 A pattern I see often in IBP implementations: the monthly forecast gets disaggregated to weeks using an equal split. 400 units in the month? That becomes 100 / 100 / 100 / 100 [...]
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